Stampeders vs. Tiger-Cats Prediction: CFL Week 5 Point Spread, Odds
July 13, 2019, 7:00 PM ET | Tim Hortons Field
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats’ stout defence finally met its match last time out – and things could be rough yet again this week as the Tiger-Cats entertain the Calgary Stampeders in a Saturday night showdown. The Ti-Cats held their first three opponents to just 41 total points, but saw the Alouettes nearly match that total themselves in a 36-29 win last week. And the Stampeders rung up 43 points on Hamilton the last time these teams met in September of 2018.
CFL Odds and BettingAs great as it is for Hamilton fans and bettors to see the Tiger-Cats off to a 3-1 start, there are some warning signs heading into the weekend, at least from an against the spread (ATS) perspective. Hamilton has covered just six of its past 27 games against teams with winning record, with 18 losses and three tied over that stretch. And the Stampeders have a major edge in their recent history, with a 6-1 ATS mark in the last seven meetings and six covers in their past seven visits to Hamilton.
These teams are on opposite trajectories when it comes to totals trends. Calgary has gone below the total in each of its previous four road games, including last week’s 37-10 drubbing of the Saskatchewan Roughriders (O/U: 51.5). Hamilton, on the other hand, is a sizzling 11-4 O/U in its previous 15 games overall and 7-2 to the over in its past nine July contests. Looking for a potential tiebreaker? The sides are 3-10 O/U in their past 13 head-to-head encounters.
If the Tiger-Cats are smart, they’ll game-plan away from Stampeders boundary corner Tre Roberson, who had two interceptions in last week’s rout of Saskatchewan. Roberson already has five interceptions through the first three games of the season; that total would have tied him for the league lead across the entire 2018 season. And for those who follow this sort of thing, the CFL record is 15 interceptions set by Al Brenner of the Tiger-Cats in 1972.
The Hamilton offence has been truly impressive to date, having produced 151 points through four games – but the Tiger-Cats’ depth will be put to the test after star running back Thomas Erlington was placed on the six-game injured list. Erlington suffered a knee injury in the first quarter of last week’s win over the Roughriders, and his absence is a big one: He recorded 417 rushing and receiving yards through the first three games of the season.