Canadian Football League Betting Preview 6/13/19
Last Updated: 2019-06-13
The Tiger-Cats are favored by 3 and the total on the game has dropped from 48 to 47 this morning, although it’s difficult to tell how much of that is due to the weather forecast. I made this one 29-26 for Hamilton.
While the numbers suggest an over, it’s a little hard to get excited about overs, as totals were 66-86-4 (43.4%) last year and there isn’t quite as big of a home field advantage, at least in terms of scores, although home teams were 48-30 straight-up and 41-37 ATS. Overall, home teams had just a +1.4 margin, compared to +2.4 in the NFL.
Hamilton is led by Jeremiah Masoli and the former Oregon Duck is now 30 years old and has established himself as a star in the league. But all the yards gained by the Tiger-Cats didn’t always translate to points, which was the team’s demise last year when they finished 8-10.
The Roughriders welcome running back William Powell to the mix and the guy can play, which could also be one reason we saw a dip in the total, as Saskatchewan could look to establish the ground game a little bit more this season. Zach Collaros didn’t have the greatest of seasons a year ago, but did get wins, which is what it’s all about in this league.
I’d like to take Hamilton in this spot, but never easy taking an East team against a West team, as the West was 29-13 straight-up and 24-18 ATS last year, while these games went under the total 59.5% of the time. West teams were 5-6 straight-up as an underdog and 7-4 against the spread.
Definitely a tough game to find a real edge, as I actually have the Tiger-Cats as a better team on the road than they are at home. I would probably stay away from this one if there more games on the slate, since it’s one of the toughest games of the week, but can’t overlook the success of the West against the East, so will take the Roughriders plus the points in this one in what is pretty much a coin toss.Next Post >>