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2019 Canadian Football League Power Ratings

Last Updated: 2019-06-13

It’s that time of year, as the Canadian Football League kicks-off its season June 13 and it will take us through Nov. 24, so it’s time to take a look at our opening power ratings, which were a bit of a challenge this season, as there was quite a bit of player movement for some teams. Ideally, the numbers carry over from one season to the next, but you do have to account for personnel changes, coaching changes and the like. So three teams enter this season with their basic numbers intact from last year’s performances, while the other six received adjustments based on what happened since last year’s Grey Cup. We will look at those after the numbers.

Opening 2019 CFL Power Ratings

Adjustments Made

British Columbia: The Lions received +2 on offense and a -1 on defense for their additions, most notably Mike Reilly at quarterback. The offensive rating adjustment was easy, but also gave them a slight bump on defense on the premise that BC will have the ball a bit more with their new-look offense.

Calgary: The Stampeders received a defensive increase of one point after losing Singleton, Thurman and Johnson, so not a drastic difference.

Edmonton:  The Eskimos took a two-point hit on offense after losing Reilly and Williams, who led the CFL in receiving last year. It would have been slightly higher, but the Eskimos did add a couple of decent players in Ellingson and Orange.

Hamilton: The Tiger-Cats saw an increase of one point on offense for returning the key skill players and what should be an improved offensive line.

Ottawa: The Redblacks took a three-point hit offensively after seeing their starting quarterback, Trevor Harris leave, along with their star receiver and starting left tackle. Dominique Davis, who played for East Carolina, is the new starting QB but has thrown just 93 passes in four years.

Toronto: The Argonauts were pretty bad last year and saw Ricky Ray retire, so they get dinged one point on offense.

Power Rating Key

To get a predicted score, simply add a team’s offensive number to its opponents defensive number. If Toronto is at Winnipeg, we would have Toronto’s road offensive rating of 17 plus Winnipeg’s home defensive rating of (-3) for a projection of 14 points. Winnipeg’s home offensive rating of 31 would be added to Toronto’s road defensive rating of 6 to get 37, so our projected score is 37-14 for the Blue Bombers.

If Winnipeg is at Toronto, we’re going to have Winnipeg’s away offensive rating of 31 added to Chicago’s 6, giving us 37, while the Argonauts’ home offensive rating of 23 is added to Winnipeg’s (-3) giving us 20, so we predict the Bombers 37-20 on the road.